Old-Fashioned-Load
0x6c5634d58b02accd9389a04e81bf0a94c44e5304
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.70
Total PnL
$-60.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Epstein" or "Island" 10+ times during his Epstein testimony?
1185 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "President" or "Trump" 3+ times during his Epstein testimony?
746 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Secretary" during his Epstein testimony?
275 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
148 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump post "Never let you down" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)
134 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Mossad" during his Epstein testimony?
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$10.44Apr 12, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.09Apr 12, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.01Mar 17, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.48Mar 17, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.51Mar 17, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.66Mar 12, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.13Mar 12, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$2.00Mar 12, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$8.23Mar 12, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$10.92Mar 12, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$10.00Mar 12, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.48Mar 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$6.35Mar 12, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.00Mar 9, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$0.00Mar 9, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Mar 9, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".