Definitive-Value
0x6c8bee515eab0e8003ffdf54a1e745f605ac1f03
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.42
Total PnL
$-14.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 19?
9 shares @ 14.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.00
$0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 19?
43 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.08
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 18?
11 shares @ 9.5¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 13?
15 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 14?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 12?
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?
8 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.76
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 14?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 19?$0.01May 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 19?$1.26May 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 19?$0.38May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 19?$1.05May 17, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 18?$1.04May 17, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 14?$2.23May 14, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 14?$1.98May 14, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 13?$1.87May 13, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 13?$0.59May 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?$0.46May 13, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 13?$0.41May 13, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?$1.26May 13, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 13?$3.27May 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 12?$3.51May 12, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 12?$1.87May 12, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 12?$2.99May 11, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?$3.86May 11, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 12?$0.33May 11, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 12?$0.55May 11, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 30?$0.00May 11, 16:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".