Known-Wax
0x6cbb3f5d648942272866f0f2cb9bbd43c637cd69
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$12.98
Total PnL
$-17.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$2.56
$1.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?
30 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
20 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?$1.00Jan 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?$1.00Jan 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.00Jan 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.20Jan 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $5.21Jan 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$5.00Dec 26, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$10.00Dec 26, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$5.00Dec 26, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $5.00Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00Dec 26, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?$1.00Dec 26, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$1.00Dec 26, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?$1.00Dec 26, 06:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 06:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 13, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.