Urban-Guilt
0x6ce09380e496f689250db7ae31b78f838feb7c3c
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$302.14
Total PnL
$-2.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
261 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$259.09
$-0.91
- NO
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?
40 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$40.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?
2 shares @ 64.9¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2025?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$260.036d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.046d ago
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$1.036d ago
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?$1.026d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?$40.00199d ago
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut in 2025?$1.00199d ago
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2025?$1.00199d ago
- REDEEMWill "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $43–47M?$3.08199d ago
- REDEEMWill "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $47–51M?$3.35199d ago
- REDEEMWill "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $43M?$3.05199d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $47–51M?$3.00314d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $43–47M?$3.00314d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $43M?$3.00314d ago
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?$0.00314d ago
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$21.32314d ago
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$22.83314d ago
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$5.50465d ago
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$11.00465d ago
- REDEEMDogecoin above $0.36 on January 10?$11.54465d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?$5.63487d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $183.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 642d ago
- Last active
- 6d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
