Extroverted-Pianist
0x6cfce245330b7935bb415bd32ebbf8ee3059a5c2
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$-56.76
Realised
$30.54
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
4000 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.0K
$-2.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
2000 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.0K
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
933 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$928.33
$0.47
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
532 shares @ 99.3¢·now 88.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$469.23
$-59.62
- NO
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
100 shares @ 81.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$84.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
117 shares @ 42.5¢·now 31.6¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$36.97
$-12.71
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
20 shares @ 85.6¢·now 43.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.63
$-8.49
- YES
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
1490 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.23
$-6.61
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 21.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.17
$-0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$927.874h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$2.0K5h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$996.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$996.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$984.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$587.697h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$4.927h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$9.847h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$381.557h ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$985.0010h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$13.3811h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$984.0012h ago
- REDEEMCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$2.0K13h ago
- REDEEMClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$0.0013h ago
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.3K15h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$13.9616h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$78.9016h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.1816h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$97.4816h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$30.1916h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $336.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 22h ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".