Merry-Incense
0x6d1dea24b0402e8904bc2274c485cebde94ae713
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$47.27
Total PnL
$-223.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
45 shares @ 67.3¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.63
$-4.37
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
97 shares @ 31.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?
47 shares @ 42.2¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.64
$-13.36
- YES
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?
3088 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?
556 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $4.00 in August?
340 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.40
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.60 in August?
80 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-19.20
- YES
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
39 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.03
- YES
XRP above $3.10 on August 1?
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?$20.83May 5, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$30.00May 5, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$30.39May 5, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high before 2026?$30.77Aug 25, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high before October?$37.46Aug 25, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.00 in August?$20.40Aug 18, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.60 in August?$19.20Aug 2, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTea App removed from App Store by August 31?$7.03Jul 29, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMissing Epstein cell footage released before August?$5.00Jul 29, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.7 in July?$20.00Jul 29, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high before October?$20.00Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high before 2026?$20.00Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP above $3.10 on August 1?$20.00Jul 28, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120K in July?$40.40Jul 14, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMets vs. Orioles$38.42Jul 11, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.0 in July?$39.00Jul 10, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saquon Barkley score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?$0.00Jul 10, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMHailey Welch jail in 2024?$0.00Jul 10, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jul 10, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.0 in July?$20.00Jul 10, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $19.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 14:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".