Elementary-Bestseller
0x6d5d6221e6a603e94464663b84d9ef9dcf5fee56
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$96.20
Total PnL
$-17.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
38 shares @ 78.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.65
$-1.35
- YES
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
19 shares @ 77.5¢·now 46.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$8.91
$-6.09
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 39.3¢·now 39.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.91
$-0.05
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0114h ago
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$8.1523h ago
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$1.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$1.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$15.1723h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$30.2623h ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- YIELD$0.009d ago
- YIELD$0.0010d ago
- YIELD$0.0011d ago
- YIELD$0.0012d ago
- YIELD$0.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?$3.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?$3.0013d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $10.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 34d ago
- Last active
- 14h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".