Good-Natured-Compassion
0x6d7da4c4a413d5c5790031010f423ea5573d617f
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$35.02
Total PnL
$-495.38
Realised
$111.05
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
115 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.97
$-5.19
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?
700 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.25
$2.45
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?
1850 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.62
$2.14
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.80
$0.40
- YES
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
457 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.83
$-0.46
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$1.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?
2380 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.19
$-1.19
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?
2200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.10
$-1.10
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.90
$-0.30
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?
1420 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$0.71
$-0.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?$1.49Jul 24, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?$1.49Jul 24, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?$1.42Jul 24, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.11Jul 22, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.02Jul 22, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.02Jul 22, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.03Jul 22, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.03Jul 22, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.02Jul 22, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.03Jul 22, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.03Jul 22, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.01Jul 22, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.01Jul 22, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.04Jul 22, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.22Jul 22, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.02Jul 22, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.07Jul 22, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$0.04Jul 22, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.40Jul 22, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.10Jul 22, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 11:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.