Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?
Probability
17¢
1h
-0.2pp
24h
-0.6pp
24h Vol
$4.89
Liquidity
$99.12
Probability (last 7 days)
+11.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4540h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 34.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4540.3h
- 19:43SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 4540h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.6pp over the last 24h, now 17¢.
Biggest hourly move: +43.0pp at 3d ago (to 46¢).
Show all 57 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:00 · -13.3pp → 17¢
- 16:00 · -13.2pp → 18¢
- 10:00 · -14.0pp → 18¢
- 09:00 · -14.7pp → 18¢
- 08:00 · -15.5pp → 18¢
- 06:00 · -17.1pp → 18¢
- 05:00 · -6.5pp → 18¢
- 03:00 · -6.0pp → 18¢
- 02:00 · -5.8pp → 18¢
- 00:00 · -5.8pp → 18¢
- 22:00 · -26.2pp → 18¢
- 20:00 · +8.9pp → 18¢
- 1d ago · +9.3pp → 18¢
- 1d ago · +9.3pp → 18¢
- 1d ago · +9.3pp → 18¢
- 1d ago · +9.3pp → 18¢
- 1d ago · +9.3pp → 18¢
- 1d ago · +9.3pp → 18¢
- 1d ago · +9.2pp → 18¢
- 1d ago · +9.2pp → 18¢
- 1d ago · +15.9pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · +9.2pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · +9.2pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · +22.3pp → 31¢
- 2d ago · +22.3pp → 31¢
- 2d ago · +10.1pp → 19¢
- 2d ago · +8.8pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · +22.1pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · +16.9pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · +16.9pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · +18.3pp → 19¢
- 2d ago · +17.8pp → 19¢
- 2d ago · +17.9pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · +10.5pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · +10.5pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · +13.3pp → 15¢
- 2d ago · +28.2pp → 30¢
- 2d ago · +28.7pp → 30¢
- 3d ago · +28.8pp → 31¢
- 3d ago · +18.6pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · +29.2pp → 31¢
- 3d ago · +16.8pp → 18¢
- 3d ago · +16.9pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +15.9pp → 18¢
- 3d ago · +28.9pp → 31¢
- 3d ago · +30.0pp → 32¢
- 3d ago · +30.5pp → 32¢
- 3d ago · +31.3pp → 33¢
- 3d ago · +32.3pp → 34¢
- 3d ago · +22.2pp → 25¢
- 3d ago · +43.0pp → 46¢
- 3d ago · +20.9pp → 24¢
- 3d ago · +20.6pp → 24¢
- 3d ago · +19.9pp → 24¢
- 3d ago · +39.5pp → 44¢
- 3d ago · +39.5pp → 45¢
- 4d ago · +3.4pp → 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Nov 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not stated explicitly — read the full market rules below.
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (34.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.