Bleak-Full
0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$480.9K
Total PnL
$80.9K
Realised
$29.4K
Win rate
79%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
87800 shares @ 82.6¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$83.2K
$10.7K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
45000 shares @ 76.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.2K
$6.9K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
27625 shares @ 81.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.1K
$3.7K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
27273 shares @ 87.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.0K
$1.1K
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
24682 shares @ 81.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.6K
$3.6K
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
21444 shares @ 86.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.4K
$910.80
- NO
Iran leadership change by July 31?
16735 shares @ 95.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.6K
$701.41
- NO
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
13565 shares @ 91.7¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.3K
$885.90
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
16248 shares @ 69.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.1K
$1.7K
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
15839 shares @ 63.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.4K
$2.4K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$95.00Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$18.27Jul 28, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$1.70Jul 28, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$2.6KJul 28, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$2.5KJul 28, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$630.00Jul 28, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$1.8KJul 28, 01:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$14.41Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$2.75Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$117.94Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$5.40Jul 27, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$4.48Jul 27, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$1.00Jul 27, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$79.92Jul 27, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$808.90Jul 27, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2.4KJul 27, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2.1KJul 27, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$29.50Jul 27, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$131.54Jul 27, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$457.47Jul 27, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$40.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
19%
Window
May 23, 04:50 UTC → Jun 9, 12:12 UTC
- SELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$5.5K@89¢Jun 9, 12:12 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 5 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
19%
Sample
limited
5 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
$13.8K · 34% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $622.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 15:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.