Starchy-Sonata
0x6e24dfe42cdca21e6666afa14ac66eecc0dceb76
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$35.51
Total PnL
$-224.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
20 shares @ 30.1¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.34
$10.34
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 69.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.04
$0.04
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 71.3¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
86 shares @ 5.8¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$3.66
$-1.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
110 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
81 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$8.44Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.10Jul 19, 17:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$1.28Jul 15, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$1.02Jul 15, 22:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.12Jul 14, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$4.99Jul 14, 17:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$5.19Jul 13, 02:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$10.37Jul 11, 17:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$16.26Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$10.12Jul 9, 19:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $10.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 17:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.