Clueless-Emergency
0x6e2ba3fe3b0750d6935fc7fdf80d25298c72ce12
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$4.26
Total PnL
$-43.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
9 shares @ 10.8¢·now 25.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.39
$1.39
- NO
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
TikTok banned in the US in 2024?
52 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$2.44Jul 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?$1.23Jul 14, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$1.02Jul 14, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$1.03Jul 14, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.4 released by July 17?$1.03Jul 7, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$1.03Jul 7, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?$3.50Jul 6, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?$1.01Jul 3, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.04Jul 3, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?$1.03Jul 3, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$2.11Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.97Jul 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.06Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$1.22Jun 30, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 14, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$1.05Jun 12, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$1.01Jun 11, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$1.02Jun 11, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?$1.03Jun 11, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.