0x6e6aa91b06d61cc7b3a563d82d99782fe68d862f
0x6e6aa91b06d61cc7b3a563d82d99782fe68d862f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$30.78
Total PnL
$-1.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Palantir say "Insurance" during earnings call?
28 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$15.04
$-0.14
- NO
Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?
9 shares @ 48.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$3.56
$-0.88
- YES
Another pandemic before GTA VI?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.55
$0.00
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.91
$-0.04
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.91
$-0.04
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.91
$-0.04
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.53
$0.00
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 50.2¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.52
$-0.01
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
6 shares @ 23.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.84
$-0.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?$0.00Jul 31, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?$3.05Jul 31, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir say "Insurance" during earnings call?$15.46Jul 31, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?$1.86Jul 31, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$2.00Jul 30, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$2.00Jul 30, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$2.02Jul 30, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.71Jul 30, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?$1.11Jul 29, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$0.00Jul 29, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$4.00Jul 29, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$3.56Jul 28, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$1.57Jul 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.57Jul 28, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.07Jul 28, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks?$3.80Jul 27, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$2.53Jul 27, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$2.06Jul 27, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks?$3.03Jul 27, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother pandemic before GTA VI?$2.61Jul 26, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $3.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 22:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.