Expert-Misplacement
0x6f40bd79f70ca03c59d7318dfebe22e65b55eb64
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$35.2K
Total PnL
$10.6K
Realised
$2.3K
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11626 shares @ 41.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.7K
$4.9K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7902 shares @ 62.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$7.8K
$2.8K
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
29288 shares @ 15.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.0K
$1.5K
- YES
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15000 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$5.4K
$0.00
- NO
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3226 shares @ 62.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.1K
$64.52
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
5423 shares @ 22.1¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.4K
$236.79
- NO
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1035 shares @ 58.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$651.83
$51.83
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
27371 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$561.10
$-382.70
- NO
World Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken?
515 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$497.26
$13.63
- YES
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2573 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$283.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: United States (-2.5)$2.2KJun 13, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: United States (-1.5)$869.57Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucas Digne be in France's Starting 11?$58.79Jun 13, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: United States (-2.5)$205.46Jun 13, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: United States (-1.5)$204.62Jun 13, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Théo Hernandez be in France's Starting 11?$3.08Jun 12, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$607.56Jun 12, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucas Digne be in France's Starting 11?$35.93Jun 12, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$511.40Jun 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.36Jun 12, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$3.5KJun 11, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$2.0KJun 11, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.32Jun 11, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken?$483.63Jun 10, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0KJun 9, 11:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.81Jun 9, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.16Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$4.27Jun 8, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$8.57Jun 8, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?$5.97Jun 8, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $319.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.