Vital-Quality
0x6f6465996df846d5a8954df1159a72f5e78732b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-15.26
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1000 shares @ 81.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$694.90
$-115.10
- NO
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
500 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$464.98
$10.00
- NO
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
200 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$195.10
$3.10
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
184 shares @ 79.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.96
$16.56
- YES
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?
500 shares @ 26.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$70.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?
25 shares @ 89.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$23.19
$0.81
- NO
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
1098 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-114.70
- YES
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
500 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-245.00
- YES
Will Braxton Dunaway win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
303 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-12.84
- NO
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
300 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$230.52Jul 23, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$20.22Jul 23, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$5.28Jul 23, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$97.84Jul 23, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$91.00Jul 22, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$10.11Jul 22, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?$192.00Jul 21, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.98Jul 20, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$199.99Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.75Jul 19, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.90Jul 19, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.27Jul 19, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$39.33Jul 19, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.90Jul 19, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.85Jul 19, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eberechi Eze score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.00Jul 19, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.18Jul 18, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$200.00Jul 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.39Jul 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.50Jul 15, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $76.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 16:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.