Fat-Mess
0x6fa02d7afbdbd20d0f2cdfe328949aec6de43609
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$456.66
Total PnL
$8.88
Realised
$2.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?
155 shares @ 96.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$149.41
$-0.59
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?
121 shares @ 82.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$103.28
$3.28
- NO
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$103.05
$3.05
- NO
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?
54 shares @ 92.4¢·now 95.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$51.44
$1.44
- NO
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
77 shares @ 64.7¢·now 64.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.48
$-0.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$50.00May 18, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?$150.00May 12, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?$50.00May 12, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?$50.00May 12, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?$184.08May 9, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?$100.00May 6, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?$202.22May 5, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?$50.00May 4, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?$150.00May 1, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?$200.00May 1, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by May 31, 2026?$156.57May 1, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$51.31May 1, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?$240.42May 1, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?$70.00Apr 29, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?$100.00Apr 29, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by May 31, 2026?$150.00Apr 27, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$325.55Apr 27, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$0.00Apr 27, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$10.00Apr 24, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$49.00Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $92.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".