Sparkling-Soulmate
0x6fbd0764de0e71632f64128d9dac3878af38fec2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-620.94
Realised
$-260.45
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.30 on January 8?
274 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 12?
272 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.41 in December?
270 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?
269 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.31
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?
267 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.81
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 5?
261 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 10?
256 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.58
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 2?
254 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 8?
253 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 12?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 12?$1.59Aug 11, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 29?$61.03Jul 29, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 29?$59.26Jul 28, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 4?$1.49Jul 3, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 3?$70.67Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 3?$0.19Jul 2, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 3?$69.00Jul 2, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 1?$2.47May 31, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 28?$64.63May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 28?$62.30May 27, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 25?$3.18May 24, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?$3.23May 23, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 23?$2.30May 22, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$82.95May 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$0.44May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$80.19May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?$1.79May 17, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 14?$3.45May 13, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 11?$77.63May 11, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 11?$76.16May 10, 20:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $23.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 23:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.