Gregarious-Lamp
0x702b852b897491cba37574aa08fe78cc54adafd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$-392.55
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
3174 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.5K
$-31.74
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$490.00
$90.00
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$312.50
$-67.50
- NO
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?
360 shares @ 36.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$190.94
$61.24
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$170.00
$-30.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
4956 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
1818 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-33.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$221.74Jun 9, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$216.58Jun 9, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$1.4KJun 9, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$315.38Jun 9, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$378.76Jun 9, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$128.55Jun 9, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$164.72Jun 9, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$329.45Jun 9, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$101.06Jun 9, 11:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$64.65Jun 8, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$107.22Jun 8, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$120.85Jun 8, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 1, 11:30 UTC → Jun 1, 11:21 UTC
- SELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$5.0K@100¢Jun 1, 11:21 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.0K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
$5.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $129.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.