Slight-Assist
0x7048ff20396346c1aca7c5a975cac1bbc909eaa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
178
Open notional
$5.22
Total PnL
$-863.68
Realised
$-25.52
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 178- YES
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
12 shares @ 23.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.15
$-0.60
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
30 shares @ 18.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.10
$-3.30
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.97
$-9.03
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
1400 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-16.80
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
331 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 19, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$0.47Apr 19, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$12.90Apr 12, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3.76Apr 12, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?$0.30Apr 11, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?$0.26Apr 11, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?$0.33Apr 11, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$3.81Apr 11, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$0.82Apr 11, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?$0.15Apr 11, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$3.92Apr 11, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$3.92Apr 11, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$3.92Apr 11, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?$11.00Apr 11, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?$5.40Apr 11, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.90Apr 10, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.41Apr 10, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$2.04Apr 10, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.45Apr 10, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$7.20Apr 10, 19:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 17:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.