Affectionate-Gun
0x70965b1997eedfc29f11cb1a5b830e2239f811c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$139.21
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$8.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
310 shares @ 32.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$103.84
$4.65
- YES
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
114 shares @ 54.7¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.77
$-27.63
- YES
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.59
$0.07
- YES
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?
660 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.80
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
600 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-296.00
- NETHERLANDS
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
300 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-144.00
- NO
Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2026?
290 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.50
- NO
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?
284 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-42.58
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
270 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-51.30
- GAME HUNTERS
Counter-Strike: Dusty Roots vs Game Hunters (BO3)
251 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-122.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.16Jun 4, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.12Jun 4, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.14Jun 4, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.10Jun 4, 00:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.05Jun 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Netherlands (-1.5)$140.16Jun 3, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Netherlands (-1.5)$3.90Jun 3, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.34Jun 3, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.71Jun 3, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.35Jun 3, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.36Jun 3, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.16Jun 3, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.82Jun 3, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$39.45Jun 3, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$125.00Jun 2, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.0KJun 2, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$88.75Mar 5, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?$0.75Jan 5, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?$4.09Jan 5, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?$46.20Dec 11, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $27.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 04:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".