Harmful-Wrench
0x709a4b4932cffc2d137fdb31c75d9a95842b7e39
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$149.4K
Total PnL
$-16.7K
Realised
$152.78
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
22300 shares @ 90.1¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.9K
$791.02
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
19900 shares @ 92.6¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.5K
$73.49
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
18545 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.4K
$301.26
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
16425 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.3K
$463.83
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
17563 shares @ 90.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.1K
$156.10
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
6477 shares @ 78.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.6K
$492.96
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
5500 shares @ 94.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.5K
$299.75
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
5150 shares @ 94.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$199.53
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
3785 shares @ 87.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$49.60
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3300 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.3K
$47.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$457.43Jun 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.81Jun 13, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$18.52Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$8.67Jun 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.03Jun 13, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.4KJun 13, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$13.37Jun 13, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$541.00Jun 13, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$38.52Jun 13, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$963.00Jun 13, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$96.31Jun 13, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$2.7KJun 13, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.8KJun 13, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$819.04Jun 13, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$8.2KJun 13, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$444.11Jun 13, 08:05 UTC
- YIELD$4.24Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$4.24Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$31.80Jun 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$5.24Jun 11, 21:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $560.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.