Harmful-Wrench
0x709a4b4932cffc2d137fdb31c75d9a95842b7e39
Quality score
85/100
Open positions
27
Open notional
$118.7K
Total PnL
$-9.1K
Realised
$62.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
22300 shares @ 90.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.6K
$545.72
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
12705 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.3K
$108.92
- NO
Trump out as President by April 30?
11000 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$11.0K
$68.21
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
10830 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.7K
$180.41
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
11000 shares @ 92.9¢·now 92.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.1K
$-86.78
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
7910 shares @ 88.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.0K
$-4.45
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
5620 shares @ 89.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.5K
$486.14
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
5500 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.3K
$71.50
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
5496 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.2K
$-49.45
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
3300 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.2K
$10.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.725h ago
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$15.8314h ago
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$142.441d ago
- YIELD$3.091d ago
- REWARD$1.901d ago
- REWARD$0.131d ago
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$461.502d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$510.002d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$1.1K2d ago
- YIELD$3.092d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$42.122d ago
- REWARD$2.692d ago
- REWARD$0.122d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$935.392d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$21.813d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.023d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.013d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.013d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7.333d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.053d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $256.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.