Spirited-Motion
0x70b680d8035b3255fe61488affd10bbd3498aa2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$1.83
Total PnL
$-119.79
Realised
$13.68
Win rate
65%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 9.9¢·now 9.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.55
$-0.04
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
6 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.45
$-0.09
- YES
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.26
$-0.10
- YES
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?
6 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.14
$0.05
- YES
Will William Moses win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
246 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-0.40
- YES
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
6 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$0.01
- YES
Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30?
6 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.07
$-0.06
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-0.16
- YES
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-0.02
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
6 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.04
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$0.11Jun 15, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$0.04Jun 15, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$0.03Jun 15, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China Military clash before 2027?$0.48Jun 15, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$0.01Jun 14, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$0.02Jun 14, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$0.00Jun 14, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$0.02Jun 14, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$0.02Jun 14, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$0.54Jun 13, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Kherson by June 30?$0.03Jun 11, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.02Jun 11, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$0.24Jun 11, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$0.66Jun 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS military draft authorized in 2026?$0.66Jun 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$0.33Jun 11, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$0.08Jun 11, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$0.00Jun 10, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$0.00Jun 10, 01:46 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.67Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $0.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 03:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 18:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.