Fearful-Morning
0x70bd16fc5c786936b236bec2d65e05e1967e1b9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$2.07
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.06
$-0.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: Other
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD?
90623 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-90.62
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 560 and 579 times September 5–12?
13000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100K and $102K on September 8?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4000 and $4100 on September 3 at 4PM ET?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Thunder
375 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- PIRATES
Pirates vs. Orioles
262 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- BEARS
Vikings vs. Bears
229 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.06May 23, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: Other$1.01May 21, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$2.88May 9, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.32May 3, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.52May 1, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$10.55May 1, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.26May 1, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.32Apr 30, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?$1.00Apr 29, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$2.04Apr 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.52Apr 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$10.50Apr 28, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.21Apr 26, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$2.87Apr 25, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?$1.00Apr 19, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMBlues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5$1.84Apr 19, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$11.24Apr 19, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$11.00Apr 18, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$2.00Apr 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5$1.05Apr 16, 15:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 12:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".