Quixotic-Oil
0x712d15c1be59bd66a3dd657eca26ba6fb80a8f0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$256.00
Total PnL
$107.54
Realised
$1.58
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
163 shares @ 2.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$162.99
$158.41
- NO
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?
56 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$56.00
$19.60
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
26 shares @ 73.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.49
$3.51
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
13 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.19
$0.88
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.38
$-3.66
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.95
$-0.15
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?
2305 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.66
- YES
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
589 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.62
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) hit $120 before 2026??
482 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.65
- YES
Israel withdraws from Syria in 2025?
414 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?$1.10Mar 31, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.35Feb 8, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$6.96Jan 27, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$9.49Jan 26, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$3.15Jan 26, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$8.03Jan 26, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.46Jan 26, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?$15.00Jan 26, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?$18.00Jan 26, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$1.25Jan 26, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$6.34Jan 25, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$2.62Jan 25, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$0.32Jan 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$7.48Jan 25, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$1.30Jan 25, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$9.10Jan 25, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$9.24Jan 25, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.04Jan 1, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Kraken win the Pacific Division?$0.08Jan 1, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Kraken win the Pacific Division?$0.20Jan 1, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".