Colorless-Software
0x7195c5daaf414c00add1bbb452617808625f4f42
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$15.41
Total PnL
$-5.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.41
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 3?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 29?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$15.40Jul 14, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 10?$69.47Jun 10, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 10?$69.40Jun 9, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?$69.37Jun 1, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?$69.30May 31, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$69.36May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$69.29May 27, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$69.27May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$69.20May 22, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$69.17May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$69.10May 15, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$69.07May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$69.00May 12, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?$69.07May 10, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?$69.00May 10, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$68.97May 5, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$68.90May 5, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$68.98May 5, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$68.91Apr 27, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 23?$68.90Apr 27, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $52.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.