Awkward-Carload
0x71d02091410c8b5516aa0156133d4ea4cca17991
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.37
Total PnL
$-7.64
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.13
$-0.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 19?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.13
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
1 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 20?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- NO
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or below on December 7?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.71
- YES
Will Dave’s Hot Chicken be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.68
- YES
Will Josh Kerr be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-0.59
- YES
Will there be exactly four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.57
Recent activity
- TRADESELL100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?$5.76Jun 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?$6.90Jun 19, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 19?$4.66Jun 19, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$1.02Jun 19, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$1.07Jun 19, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 19?$5.80Jun 19, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.00Jun 19, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 20?$6.99Jun 19, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 20?$8.03Jun 19, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?$1.00Jun 19, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?$1.02Jun 1, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.09Jun 1, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 18?$1.00May 25, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMNvidia Data Center Revenue above 50B in Q1?$1.01May 25, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$1.01May 25, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$1.05May 25, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.14May 25, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$1.17May 25, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$1.17May 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$1.06May 18, 09:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 03:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.