Pointed-Appearance
0x71ed0bc95433cdf1be29f43219725fce9addd9eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$66.3K
Total PnL
$-61.4K
Realised
$-22.2K
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
62500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$48.0K
$16.7K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
62500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.5K
$-16.7K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
3222 shares @ 49.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$2.1K
$535.85
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
3222 shares @ 50.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$1.0K
$-563.85
- YES
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?
538 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$529.54
$260.60
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
55 shares @ 92.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.57
$1.41
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
500 shares @ 4.7¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.75
$-4.75
- YES
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?
538 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.61
$-267.33
- YES
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?
538 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.27
$-268.67
- YES
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?
538 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.27
$-268.67
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.76Aug 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$5.57Aug 13, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$41.28Aug 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$100.00Aug 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$100.00Aug 12, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?$0.52Aug 12, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?$0.20Aug 12, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?$0.64Aug 12, 13:29 UTC
- CONVERSIONWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (Small Brackets)$0.00Aug 12, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?$536.85Aug 12, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peggy Flanagan win Ramsey County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary?$141.78Aug 12, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peggy Flanagan win Ramsey County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary?$138.94Aug 12, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?$495.00Aug 12, 00:28 UTC
- REWARD$3.70Aug 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$5.63Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$30.63Aug 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$2.4KAug 11, 23:22 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.5KAug 11, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$2.4KAug 11, 16:30 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$60.0KAug 11, 12:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
29/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $344.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.