Pointed-Appearance
0x71ed0bc95433cdf1be29f43219725fce9addd9eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$64.4K
Total PnL
$-387.31
Realised
$-3.1K
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
37000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.4K
$12.9K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
16000 shares @ 85.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$15.9K
$2.3K
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
10403 shares @ 85.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.3K
$1.5K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
37000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.6K
$-12.9K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
670 shares @ 93.5¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$610.03
$-16.12
- NO
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?
240 shares @ 88.2¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$230.04
$18.06
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
219 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$218.72
$3.31
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
55 shares @ 84.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.82
$3.09
- YES
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1006 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-35.43
- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1006 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-35.43
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$770.00Jun 13, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$820.00Jun 13, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$148.43Jun 13, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$145.00Jun 13, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$405.02Jun 13, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$401.50Jun 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$160.00Jun 13, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$146.00Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.29Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$4.83Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$606.00Jun 12, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$890.00Jun 12, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$880.00Jun 12, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$420.00Jun 12, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?$465.00Jun 12, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$67.69Jun 12, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$69.93Jun 12, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$35.55Jun 12, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.25Jun 12, 08:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$31.7K
Trades
3
Buy share
63%
Window
May 20, 01:00 UTC → Jun 3, 04:13 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.0K@100¢Jun 3, 04:13 UTC
- SELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$11.8K@99¢May 26, 04:01 UTC
- BUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.9K@99¢May 20, 00:53 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$31.7K
3 trades
Buy share
63%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
$11.8K · 37% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $298.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.