Grizzled-Rear
0x7244cedec3fa8b643a89f2eebf9b537328bd1c90
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$4.75
Total PnL
$-99.22
Realised
$1.93
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$-0.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
1 shares @ 77.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$1.21
$0.27
- NO
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.70
$-0.29
- YES
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.69
$-0.29
- YES
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 24-26 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.45
$-0.53
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
9 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
9 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.006d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.0011d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$2.2611d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.0011d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.0011d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.4011d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.0011d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.1511d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.8612d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.5912d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.0012d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.6312d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.0012d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.1312d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.0012d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.4812d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13d ago
- Last active
- 6d ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".