Compassionate-Jumbo
0x72655c9f1f5b60a1d6bc1c6f4e7e2626232ce943
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$146.69
Total PnL
$-59.59
Realised
$80.78
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
95 shares @ 72.7¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.97
$-2.12
- YES
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?
363 shares @ 7.6¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.59
$-12.16
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
21 shares @ 61.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.76
$0.94
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
20 shares @ 61.4¢·now 54.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$10.83
$-1.45
- YES
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
33 shares @ 26.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.39
$1.64
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
150 shares @ 8.6¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.90
$-3.05
- YES
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?
124 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.94
$-2.26
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
20 shares @ 21.6¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.70
$1.37
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%?
67 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$0.10
$-8.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$6.40Jul 27, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$6.40Jul 22, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$6.20Jul 22, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$6.20Jul 21, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$6.00Jul 21, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$3.73Jul 21, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.63Jul 21, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.40Jul 21, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.12Jul 21, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.25Jul 21, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.12Jul 21, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.75Jul 21, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.03Jul 21, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.12Jul 21, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.58Jul 21, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$5.27Jul 21, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$4.28Jul 21, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$4.42Jul 21, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$12.52Jul 21, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$3.00Jul 20, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.