Loud-Dissemination
0x728664d15dbca2824e226db993f796199bf2223a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
194
Open notional
$251.79
Total PnL
$-511.82
Realised
$-2.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 194- YES
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
281 shares @ 1.8¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$39.53
$34.53
- YES
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
431 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$19.38
$-10.62
- YES
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$17.92
$-2.08
- YES
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$16.97
$-3.03
- YES
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
176 shares @ 11.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$14.96
$-5.04
- YES
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
644 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$12.23
$2.23
- YES
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
222 shares @ 1.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$9.00
$6.00
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
15 shares @ 33.2¢·now 52.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.90
$2.90
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
121 shares @ 16.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.85
$-12.15
- YES
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
221 shares @ 1.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$7.82
$3.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Sacramento Kings make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?$0.20Jul 29, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?$2.09Jul 29, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 29, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brooklyn Nets be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$1.05Jul 27, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Bulls be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$1.05Jul 27, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Milwaukee Bucks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$1.05Jul 27, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$2.10Jul 27, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$2.09Jul 27, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$79.12Jul 27, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$2.09Jul 26, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?$19.58Jul 26, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.78Jul 26, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.22Jul 26, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$50.01Jul 24, 15:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?$1.00Jul 20, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$88.44Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$3.13Jul 19, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$9.09Jul 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$2.00Jul 19, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 21:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.