Frail-Government
0x72bb6c4dd98874f02db8bff691eb150c976adf4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$198.14
Total PnL
$-11.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
383 shares @ 45.1¢·now 46.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$177.26
$4.51
- NO
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
93 shares @ 37.6¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.88
$-14.07
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$126.01May 14, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$27.41May 14, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$17.92May 14, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$20.23May 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$12.85May 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$16.85May 14, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$35.82May 14, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$20.77May 14, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$20.74May 14, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$23.11May 14, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$25.05May 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$51.84May 12, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$124.36Dec 20, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$109.44Dec 19, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLRachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?$109.44Dec 19, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer say "Budget" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$6.82Dec 11, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$2.00Dec 6, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Budget" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$6.00Dec 6, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer say "Cost of Living" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$30.79Dec 6, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Cost of Living" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$25.97Dec 1, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $40.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 12:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 18:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".