Mortified-Locality
0x72f42bab065f6f3d0f7f04ad88bf39a9e321d5a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$51.90
Total PnL
$-290.65
Realised
$-0.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
31 shares @ 32.6¢·now 30.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
123 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
34 shares @ 14.5¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
39 shares @ 5.2¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$3.08
$1.08
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?
280 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
185 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
94 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
88 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$16.67Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?$11.12Jul 19, 19:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$20.10Jul 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.27Jul 18, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$10.04Jul 18, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.17Jul 18, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?$10.05Jul 18, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$10.15Jul 18, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$10.20Jul 18, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$10.16Jul 18, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.46Jul 18, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?$10.14Jul 18, 16:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.48Jul 15, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.39Jul 14, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$20.63Jul 14, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $13.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.