Tragic-Member
0x738a4849db23670996f14dff96a2bc6a8f885996
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$944.93
Total PnL
$-162.38
Realised
$7.61
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$97.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
100 shares @ 93.2¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$92.65
$-0.55
- YES
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
100 shares @ 74.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$68.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
132 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$64.07
$-1.93
- NO
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
116 shares @ 33.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$49.48
$11.06
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
391 shares @ 12.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.38
$-3.10
- YES
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
67 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$36.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
139 shares @ 26.4¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.33
$-3.32
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1566 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.53
$0.53
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1875 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.06
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.75Jun 13, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.50Jun 13, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.45Jun 13, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 13, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$36.76Jun 13, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$1.39Jun 13, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$17.50Jun 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.10Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$37.67Jun 13, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$66.00Jun 13, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$19.75Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.38Jun 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12.50Jun 13, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12.50Jun 13, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$25.00Jun 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$38.19Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$10.12Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 13, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$8.25Jun 13, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?$42.12Jun 13, 05:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $21.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 23:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.