Bland-Flag
0x73bb531d8cfabcdd61f9e7bc08e8d2554bc69473
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-11.0K
Realised
$128.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
842 shares @ 43.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$593.61
$231.38
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$404.25
$164.25
- YES
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
98 shares @ 27.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.20
$-11.27
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
40000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-221.08
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
30000 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
14252 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-266.31
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
12488 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
8178 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-170.76
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5982 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-570.75
- YES
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
5871 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.