Dear-Sense
0x73edacd2f1f4f820cd54d20de42104281a3243af
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-48.10
Realised
$-9.07
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?
10 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$10.00
$3.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
15 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.41
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
10 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- VARREL
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.73
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
7 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$5.63May 11, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?$7.06May 11, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$5.87May 11, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$12.41May 11, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$7.20May 11, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$0.00Apr 22, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$0.00Apr 22, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies$9.91Apr 21, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$0.00Apr 20, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$2.65Apr 20, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$1.90Apr 20, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies$6.90Apr 20, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega$4.80Apr 20, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.60Apr 19, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.60Apr 19, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$7.20Apr 19, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$0.00Apr 19, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner$0.00Apr 19, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$0.00Apr 19, 15:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.