Grotesque-Tentacle
0x7408475b4f27526d7f14f9a5c1de9efb877d7ba5
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$27.15
Total PnL
$4.05
Realised
$1.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.72
$2.72
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
8 shares @ 53.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.19
$0.19
- YES
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $14m and $15m?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$4.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on March 23?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 23?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3 shares @ 48.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.93
$1.26
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
41 shares @ 9.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.27
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$6.56May 12, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.00May 9, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$0.00May 1, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$0.01Apr 22, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$0.31Apr 17, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$0.08Apr 17, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$0.30Apr 17, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$0.30Apr 17, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$4.00Apr 17, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$0.29Apr 17, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$1.06Apr 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$2.66Apr 16, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMAWS service disrupted by March 31?$0.00Apr 15, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.16Apr 15, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.16Apr 15, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$4.00Apr 15, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.29Apr 15, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.20Apr 15, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.07Apr 15, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$0.00Apr 13, 22:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 01:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.