Clumsy-Breeze
0x7423efcbc039b833e75f214cacb4461551e3c55f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-74.28
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?
624 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-193.28
- NOVAK DJOKOVIC
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic
460 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-96.61
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
253 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Thunder
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- PACERS
Raptors vs. Pacers
173 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
163 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-68.82
- YES
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?
155 shares @ 64.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
145 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)
144 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic$100.42Jul 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?$198.61Jun 29, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?$111.61Jun 29, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?$100.00Jun 28, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$315.93Jun 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$24.27Jun 26, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$72.33Jun 26, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$9.01Jun 21, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$213.99Jun 21, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$102.58Jun 20, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$196.01Jun 20, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$140.30Jun 20, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$101.56Jun 20, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$205.12Jun 20, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$300.15Jun 20, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$150.00Jun 19, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$100.66Jun 19, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$20.56Jun 18, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$33.61Jun 18, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$25.55Jun 18, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $86.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 02:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.