Clumsy-Pass
0x7426bbee911c092e59bf6a4a22ac16a2bdb672b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$228.53
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
654 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$109.48
$9.48
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1190 shares @ 8.4¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$70.83
$-29.17
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
857 shares @ 1.4¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.14
$14.14
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
720 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.88
$-6.12
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.20
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 24?
2333 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-66.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?
1890 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-13.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 24?
1192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-62.43
- YES
France vs. Sweden: Neither team to score first?
1081 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?
960 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$30.86Jul 1, 17:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: Neither team to score first?$41.16Jun 30, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-07-02?$36.99Jun 30, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?$37.00Jun 30, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-30?$36.99Jun 30, 04:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-30?$36.98Jun 28, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$36.97Jun 28, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?$36.97Jun 28, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-28?$36.90Jun 28, 04:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.36Jun 27, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.35Jun 27, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.53Jun 27, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $33.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.