Sizzling-Patience
0x74386dfd2b031762e5d83e1b69f0e27797fbb741
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$676.16
Total PnL
$-399.31
Realised
$117.11
Win rate
83%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?
117 shares @ 5.1¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.64
$22.68
- YES
Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 11.6¢·now 37.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.38
$14.16
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $60B?
44 shares @ 23.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$17.96
$7.76
- YES
GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch
48 shares @ 13.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.55
$11.30
- YES
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?
58 shares @ 21.5¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.86
$1.45
- YES
Will "Reserve" be in the headlines this week?
26 shares @ 24.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$13.54
$7.29
- NO
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?
128 shares @ 9.8¢·now 8.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$11.29
$-1.21
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $5M one day after launch?
39 shares @ 15.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.02
$5.11
- NO
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.80
$-1.71
- YES
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?
45 shares @ 10.2¢·now 23.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.69
$6.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1.03Jul 28, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?$1.00Jul 28, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31?$1.56Jul 28, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houthis successfully target shipping on August 7, 2026?$6.25Jul 28, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?$3.38Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?$3.00Jul 28, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Swan" in July?$0.43Jul 28, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELL1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?$0.48Jul 28, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?$13.34Jul 28, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?$2.81Jul 28, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLClaudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?$10.90Jul 28, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $800M one day after launch?$6.25Jul 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 25 and 27 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?$2.34Jul 28, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELL1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?$0.04Jul 28, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.44Jul 28, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?$5.87Jul 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNeutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?$2.25Jul 28, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill $ANSEM dip to $0.01 before 2027?$3.70Jul 28, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31?$1.40Jul 28, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 69 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
69 closed markets, 83% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 22:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.