Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$48.86
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-28.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 5¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $1.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5939.9h
Price movement
-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.
Biggest hourly move: -48.5pp at 1d ago (to 6¢).
Show top 8 of 50 hourly moves
- 12:00 · -33.5pp → 5¢
- 10:00 · -37.0pp → 5¢
- 17:00 · -46.0pp → 6¢
- 15:00 · -32.5pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -48.5pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -44.0pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -40.5pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -37.5pp → 14¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Megan Thee Stallion is engaged to be married to Klay Thompson by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is announced that Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Megan Thee Stallion and/or Klay Thompson or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
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