Earnest-Thickness
0x74519f4e7d745d43cf328efdd438a43bd0cd3022
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.85
Total PnL
$-175.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.65
$0.65
- NO
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
230 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.62
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
90 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.70
- YES
Will Solana reach $270 in October?
90 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?
50 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET
40 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 2?
30 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-22.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 22?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4AM ET
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00May 12, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.37May 11, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.63May 7, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$13.00Mar 30, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$11.60Mar 28, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.47Feb 25, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.46Feb 23, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1AM ET$10.00Feb 23, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1AM ET$4.90Jan 26, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$0.13Jan 26, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$0.25Jan 26, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$0.25Jan 26, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$0.37Jan 26, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$0.49Jan 26, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$9.31Jan 26, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMSentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?$10.00Jan 26, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?$7.80Jan 22, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4AM ET$9.80Jan 22, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2AM ET$1.00Jan 22, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0.09Jan 22, 07:39 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".