Costly-Virtue
0x745c83c80972a7019edb49902fefe964cd8840d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$78.33
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
50 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.23
$0.13
- NO
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
31 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.11
$0.48
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on August 22?
2080 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- REDS
Phillies vs. Reds
1901 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on August 8?
1814 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-907.00
- BLUE JAYS
Blue Jays vs. Orioles
984 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-501.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?$19.28Jun 11, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$48.10Jun 8, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$18.51Jun 1, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$41.53May 31, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$7.97May 27, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$29.63May 22, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$18.47May 21, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?$48.10May 20, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$49.00May 19, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.64May 19, 08:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by June 30?$48.55May 14, 22:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$28.59May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.10May 13, 09:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $26.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 22:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.