Stunning-Anatomy
0x746a12e948a6e19f0e11e7e62a2d02389ac91dc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$88.54
Total PnL
$-4.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
12 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
12 shares @ 82.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.18
$2.18
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9.5m?
9 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$9.44
$0.44
- NO
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
7 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.18
$0.18
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
6 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in May?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
5 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in May?$5.01May 24, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9.5m?$9.02May 24, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.09May 24, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.67May 24, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMJiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Akira Santillan$4.98May 24, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar$7.37May 24, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$10.02May 24, 19:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Apr 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$12.00Apr 27, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar$6.00Apr 27, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Akira Santillan$4.25Apr 27, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.6KApr 27, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 25?$8.07Apr 27, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 25?$10.10Apr 27, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 25?$15.40Apr 27, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$858.58Apr 27, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$313.00Apr 27, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$133.00Apr 27, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$190.00Apr 27, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $159.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.