Deafening-Sunshine
0x746fb1be8434cfa4398c124aeff69f034e3e566d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$7.9K
Total PnL
$-12.3K
Realised
$435.18
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
49000 shares @ 27.2¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.1K
$-6.2K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
39442 shares @ 8.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$828.28
$-2.4K
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
25 shares @ 65.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.25
$-16.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
42898 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
21010 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-42.02
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
1835 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$31.28Jun 9, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$31.43Jun 9, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$32.78Jun 9, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$31.00Jun 8, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$16.25Jun 7, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$17.77Jun 5, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.34May 31, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.34May 31, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$7.00May 27, 17:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.19May 27, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$7.13May 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$68.25May 26, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$360.00May 26, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$360.00May 26, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$258.40May 26, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$12.00May 26, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$10.98May 26, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$3.65May 26, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.02May 26, 00:03 UTC
- REWARD$4.40May 26, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $60.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 22:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.