0x74827987d5cc4c73ccee4df1e6c15e7f92dc6c8e
0x74827987d5cc4c73ccee4df1e6c15e7f92dc6c8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$87.94
Total PnL
$-45.22
Realised
$0.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?
35 shares @ 83.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$35.00
$5.92
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
30 shares @ 91.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$30.00
$2.60
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 46.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$15.00
$8.00
- YES
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
7 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.04
$3.73
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.78
$-2.23
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
27 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.12
$-3.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
145 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.15
- YES
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?
56 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.33
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
50 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-05?
44 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.35Apr 11, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2.75Apr 10, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.69Apr 8, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2.50Apr 8, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2.50Apr 8, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2.65Apr 8, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$0.25Apr 7, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$0.90Apr 7, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$0.90Apr 7, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.03Apr 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$4.55Apr 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$4.55Apr 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$4.55Apr 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$4.55Apr 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$4.55Apr 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.42Apr 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.45Apr 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.50Apr 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$4.65Apr 7, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.17Apr 7, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 22:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 04:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.