Simplistic-Altitude
0x748c40ef9918508fbd58896b5c23c934e5c2214a
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$10.98
Total PnL
$-74.39
Realised
$-29.49
Win rate
14%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$4.62
$2.87
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.70
$0.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 3.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.63
$1.55
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on June 7?
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.46
$-0.59
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on June 7?
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.46
$-0.59
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on June 8?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.35
$-0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on June 8?
75 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.34
$-0.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on June 9?
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.33
$-0.72
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on June 8?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.29
$-0.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 7?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.23
$-0.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on June 8?$1.10Jun 7, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 7?$1.10Jun 7, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 7?$1.10Jun 7, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?$1.10Jun 7, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on June 9?$1.10Jun 7, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 7?$1.18Jun 7, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on June 7?$1.10Jun 7, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 7?$1.10Jun 7, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on June 7?$1.10Jun 7, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on June 8?$1.10Jun 7, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on June 8?$1.10Jun 7, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 7?$1.10Jun 7, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 7?$1.10Jun 7, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lighter reach $10 before 2027?$0.05May 28, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMJang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?$0.00May 28, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? $0.00May 28, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$0.00May 28, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMOver $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?$0.00May 28, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.00May 28, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$0.00May 28, 16:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 10:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.