Tidy-Tinderbox
0x74e68d8fbdc0bab0e004ad529be87981e0b44f6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$113.76
Total PnL
$-102.28
Realised
$43.76
Win rate
77%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
36 shares @ 70.8¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.98
$1.17
- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
60 shares @ 32.3¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.50
$-2.90
- NO
Will Brann win Norway Eliteserien?
16 shares @ 71.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2026$15.76
$4.11
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?
118 shares @ 11.1¢·now 8.6¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$10.20
$-2.94
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
123 shares @ 7.1¢·now 6.3¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$7.72
$-1.05
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$5.12
$0.06
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
40 shares @ 44.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.63
$-13.25
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
40 shares @ 13.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.80
$-1.60
- YES
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
34 shares @ 10.5¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$0.18
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
60 shares @ 22.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-10.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$1.27Jun 12, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$6.78Jun 11, 21:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.50Jun 10, 16:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$3.20Jun 8, 08:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.26Jun 7, 22:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$2.75Jun 5, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$2.90Jun 5, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$1.07Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$2.81Jun 4, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$2.81Jun 4, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$0.50Jun 4, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$11.45Jun 4, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.