0x74f07e36b24de40758c8de14557bf2d87f6cec6e
0x74f07e36b24de40758c8de14557bf2d87f6cec6e
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$21.96
Total PnL
$2.96
Realised
$5.88
Win rate
64%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Jacy Todd win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?
1619 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 12, 2026$4.05
$0.81
- YES
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$3.64
$1.88
- YES
Will Danielle Bethell win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
363 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.27
$-0.36
- YES
Will Baidu have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
1529 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.06
$-1.53
- YES
Will Gary L. Rogge win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?
1728 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$2.59
$-0.86
- YES
Will Caleb Kintz win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
679 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.02
$0.34
- YES
Will Brad T. Peters win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
1392 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.70
$-0.70
- YES
Will Jack Ellison be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
3 shares @ 5.3¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.63
$0.46
- YES
Will Patrick Kopke-Hales win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
1237 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.62
$-0.62
- YES
Will David Medina win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
1132 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.57
$-0.57
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill David Medina win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$0.281d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jacy Todd win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$0.691d ago
- TRADESELLWill Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$0.685d ago
- TRADESELLWill Patrick Kopke-Hales win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$0.417d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$36.288d ago
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.608d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$1.508d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$1.008d ago
- TRADESELLWill Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?$5.5210d ago
- TRADEBUYWill James Clark be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?$0.2410d ago
- TRADESELLWill Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.9210d ago
- TRADESELLWill Sal Holguin win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$0.5611d ago
- TRADESELLWill Sal Holguin win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$1.4411d ago
- TRADESELLWill Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$0.0711d ago
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$25.0011d ago
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$9.2412d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.0112d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jack Ellison be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$0.1912d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jenny Costa Honeycutt be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$0.2612d ago
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.1512d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
