Cuddly-Folder
0x74f1b8944c7b10f7239e3dda0de6b8ee42e816a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$17.5K
Total PnL
$-54.4K
Realised
$24.1K
Win rate
64%
84 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
8537 shares @ 1.1¢·now 71.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.1K
$6.0K
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
4772 shares @ 70.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.8K
$490.91
- NO
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?
4089 shares @ 65.5¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.9K
$184.84
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
6689 shares @ 6.2¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$787.21
- NO
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
5335 shares @ 35.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-711.03
- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
23024 shares @ 5.2¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$598.61
$-610.03
- YES
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
34467 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$396.37
$-50.74
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
11416 shares @ 3.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$244.30
$-173.92
- YES
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
8244 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$234.95
$-63.98
- YES
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
22089 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$220.89
$-171.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$234.25Jun 13, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$71.27Jun 13, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$206.41Jun 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35.55Jun 13, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.08Jun 13, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$23.94Jun 13, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$0.09Jun 13, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$16.32Jun 13, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$44.24Jun 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?$4.76Jun 13, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?$7.98Jun 13, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$16.32Jun 13, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$0.85Jun 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?$0.86Jun 13, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$4.89Jun 13, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$122.86Jun 13, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$215.00Jun 13, 06:46 UTC
- MERGEWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.06Jun 13, 06:05 UTC
- MERGEWill Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$289.07Jun 13, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$137.36Jun 13, 04:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $43.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 02:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 84 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.