Likely-Doing
0x75077670146faa701e80e3c31ee0bc19da948872
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$70.97
Total PnL
$-80.45
Realised
$0.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
35 shares @ 72.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.52
$0.52
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
760 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$23.94
$-0.06
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: June
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.78
$-0.22
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.74
$2.74
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
106 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
66 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
52 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: June$14.00Jun 13, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: May$12.99Jun 13, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$25.00May 30, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: April$15.87May 30, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$10.00May 3, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.86May 1, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$10.00Apr 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$10.34Apr 20, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 16, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?$4.44Apr 16, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?$4.00Apr 13, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$3.00Apr 13, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13?$1.00Apr 13, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.00Apr 13, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 14?$5.00Apr 13, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 9?$5.00Apr 8, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.00Apr 8, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: April$10.00Apr 8, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.00Apr 8, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 7?$0.00Apr 8, 17:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $7.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.